Climate Scenarios and Analysis

Global climate models are the primary tools for understanding how the future climate will evolve. However, these models are uncertain and often provide outputs at coarse resolutions compared to the scale at which adaptation planning occurs. The use of this data for various purposes, e.g., for analysis of climatological processes, as input for impact assessment models or for estimating projected changes to define adaptation pathways in planning for uncertain climate change, requires comprehensive analysis and understanding of the data, their validity, and representativeness. We provide relevant scenarios and climate information tailored to clients needs in hydrology and water resources, civil infrastructure, agriculture, ecosystems, coastal protection, power and energy, forests, and mining. Our key services include:

  • Global climate model evaluation and selection of regional climate scenarios for impact modelling projects
  • Downscaling of climate projections
  • Bias correction of climate projections
  • Statistical analysis of Big Data (Multi-GCM Multi-Ensemble Multi-Scenario)
  • Jeremy Fyke

    Jeremy Fyke Ph.D.

    Manager, Climate Services

    • I am passionate about bringing cutting edge climate science to decision making. I think this is critical work that will allow communities to better understand their role in mitigating and adapting to future climate conditions.

    • I am really thankful to be in the North Okanagan region of BC with my family – skiing, mountain biking, running, climbing, and paddle boarding!

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